New Study Finds Computer Models Predict Too Much Warming

New Study Finds Computer Models Predict Too Much Warming
August 17, 2011

James M. Taylor, J.D.

James M. Taylor is managing editor of Environment & Climate News, a national monthly... (read full bio)

A doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations will likely cause roughly 1 degree Celsius of global warming, as opposed to United Nations computer model predictions of 1.5 to 5 degrees of warming, concludes a new peer-reviewed study authored by MIT atmospheric science professor Richard Lindzen and South Korean environmental science professor Yong-Sang Choi. 

Lindzen and Choi analyzed radiation escaping into space as measured by NASA satellite instruments, sea surface temperatures, air temperatures, humidity, and other factors to produce a temperature sensitivity model that better replicates real-world conditions than United Nations computer models and indicates less future warming than UN computer models.

Meteorologist Anthony Watts presents a good summary of the Lindzen-Choi paper here, and the full text of the study is available here.

James M. Taylor, J.D.

James M. Taylor is managing editor of Environment & Climate News, a national monthly... (read full bio)